FRP Head 2 Head Stats

This site is generally for my usage only but you are welcombe to use it on the condition that I am not held responsible in any way if you do decide to use it.

Sorry, there was no Head-2-Head match selected to perform this Head-2-Head analysis, so the default test match has been selected instead.

I choose this particular match as a basis for my testing. I partook in a thread discussion on the Punters Lounge where many of their members had put up their own predictions and stuff. So I thought it would be a great way to measure my own predictions and routines.

So, on the 29th March 2008 Birmingham City played Man City. The outcome was a home win for Birmingham with a 3-1 result.

Head to Head : Birmingham V Man City on 2008-03-29

Based on data from 2007-08-11 to 2008-03-28 | Data Verified: True. More than 6 games to provide data

Table Colours explained.

Home: Goals/Data
Draw
Away: Goals/Data
Overall: Data
Home
Draw
Away
Away

Home Team: Birmingham Data.

Overall (Home & Away)
Home
Away
P
F
A
HP
HF
HA
AP
AF
AA
31
35
48
15
20
18
16
15
30
Last 6 Overall (Home & Away)
Last 6 Home
Last 6 Away
CFP
CFF
CFA
HP
HF
HA
AP
AF
AA
6
11
11
6
9
7
6
5
11
Birmingham - Home & Away & Overall ELO Ratings

Home Team: Birmingham Percentage of scoring x goals.

0
1
2
3
4
5+
34.19
36.69
19.69
7.05
1.89
0.49

 

Away Team: Man City Data.

Overall (Home & Away)
Home
Away
P
F
A
HP
HF
HA
AP
AF
AA
31
36
34
16
23
14
15
13
20
Last 6 Overall (Home & Away)
Last 6 Home
Last 6 Away
CFP
CFF
CFA
HP
HF
HA
AP
AF
AA
6
4
6
6
4
7
6
5
5
Man City - Home & Away & Overall ELO Ratings

 

Away Team: Man City Percentage of scoring x goals.

0
1
2
3
4
5+
37.6
36.78
17.99
5.87
1.43
0.33

Poisson Distribution

This Poisson Distribution is the probability of a given number of goals occurring during the match between Birmingham V Man City.

Birmingham V Man City Poisson Goal Matrix.

 
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
12.85
13.8
7.4
2.65
0.71
0.18
1
12.57
13.5
7.24
2.59
0.7
0.18
2
6.15
6.6
3.54
1.27
0.34
0.09
3
2.01
2.15
1.16
0.41
0.11
0.03
4
0.49
0.53
0.28
0.1
0.03
0.01
5
0.11
0.12
0.07
0.02
0.01
0

 

Birmingham V Man City ELO Ratings.

Team
Home ELO Rating
Away ELO Rating
Overall ELO Rating
Birmingham
1141
793
934
Man City
1101
785
886
Birmingham V Man City ELO Ratings Home/Away Graph
Birmingham V Man City ELO Ratings Overall Graph

Birmingham V Man City Possible Outcomes.

Description
Birmingham Home Win
Draw
Man City Away Win
Outcome
Poisson Goal Matrix %
37.2972%
30.3341%
32.3687%
Home Win
Poisson Calculated Odds
2.68
3.3
3.09
Home Win
Bet365 Odds
2.4
3.3
3
Home Win
ELO Home/Away Base
356 Pts
-
-
Home Win
ELO Overall
48 Pts
-
-
Home Win

Birmingham V Man City Actual Result.

Birmingham Goals
Outcome
Man City Goals
3
Birmingham Home Win
1

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